Stress Scenarios

Stress scenarios.

Review historical and forward-looking scenario tables, compare the portfolios, and examine any saved portfolios.

Selected Portfolio Stress View

Choose a portfolio to review the stress events through a portfolio lens.

Balanced Macquarie portfolio. Strategic allocation for clients who need both growth potential and diversification support.
Stress scenario
HistoricalModelled
-20%-10%0%2008 GFC Historical -23.0%2008 GFC-23.0%2020 Pandemic Historical -13.0%2020 Pandemic-13.0%Equity Drawdown Modelled -9.2%Equity Drawdown-9.2%Inflation Shock Modelled -7.0%Inflation Shock-7.0%Stagflation-lite Modelled -6.5%Stagflation-lite-6.5%Rate Spike Modelled -6.2%Rate Spike-6.2%2000 Dot Com Modelled +2.8%2000 Dot Com+2.8%

Returns show portfolio impact under each scenario. Historical scenarios use uploaded monthly return history where coverage is available; otherwise modelled asset-class shocks are applied. Forward-looking scenarios are fully modelled.

ModelledHistorical

Historical coverage matched 0/37 months; using modelled shocks.

Asset-class stress returns

Historical scenario columns use uploaded monthly return history where available at the asset-class level. Missing historical data and forward-looking scenarios use modelled shock assumptions.

Asset class
2000 Dot Com
Modelled
2008 GFC
Historical
2020 Pandemic
Historical
Inflation Shock
Modelled
Rate Spike
Modelled
Equity Drawdown
Modelled
Stagflation-lite
Modelled
Australian Equities
+3%
-43.3%
-27.0%
-11%
-6%
-18%
-10%
International Equities
-9%
-34.9%
-13.0%
-9%
-5%
-16%
-8%
Private Equity
-7%
-22.6%
-6.8%
-8%
-7%
-15%
-10%
Hedge Funds
+15%
-20.1%
-11.2%
-3%
-2%
-5%
-3%
Infrastructure
+11%
-35.7%
-23.2%
+2%
-4%
-7%
-2%
Property
+11%
-64.2%
-29.6%
-4%
-9%
-9%
-5%
Private Credit
+7%
-3.6%
-10.8%
-2%
-5%
-6%
-4%
Australian Fixed Income
+12%
+15.6%
+0.7%
-10%
-12%
+5%
-6%
International Fixed Income
+11%
+11.7%
-0.5%
-8%
-9%
+4%
-4%
Short Duration & Cash
+6%
+9.9%
+0.2%
+1%
+1%
+1%
+1%

Portfolio Stress Comparison

Compare portfolios across stress events. Examine the trade-off between resilience and growth exposure in these periods.

2000-2002

2000 Dot Com

Modelled

Portfolio return during the technology downturn.

Historical coverage matched 0/37 months; using modelled shocks.

High Growth
-0.5%
Growth
+0.8%
Balanced
+2.8%
Moderate
+4.9%
Conservative
+7.7%

2008-2009

2008 GFC

Historical

Portfolio return during the global financial crisis.

High Growth
-33.3%
Growth
-29.5%
Balanced
-23.0%
Moderate
-15.9%
Conservative
-5.0%

Q1 2020

2020 Pandemic

Historical

Portfolio return during the pandemic drawdown.

High Growth
-17.1%
Growth
-15.8%
Balanced
-13.0%
Moderate
-10.3%
Conservative
-6.2%

Forward-looking scenario

Inflation Shock

Modelled

Inflation expectations rise, long-duration assets fall.

High Growth
-7.9%
Growth
-7.3%
Balanced
-7.0%
Moderate
-6.6%
Conservative
-6.4%

Forward-looking scenario

Rate Spike

Modelled

A sharp move higher in bond yields, pressuring fixed income, property, and other duration-sensitive assets.

Conservative
-7.2%
Moderate
-6.7%
Balanced
-6.2%
Growth
-5.7%
High Growth
-5.6%

Forward-looking scenario

Equity Drawdown

Modelled

A broad equity-led sell-off, with listed growth assets falling materially and defensive exposures providing only partial support.

High Growth
-13.8%
Growth
-12.1%
Balanced
-9.2%
Moderate
-6.1%
Conservative
-1.8%

Forward-looking scenario

Stagflation-lite

Modelled

A softer growth backdrop with sticky inflation, weighing on equities and parts of fixed income while limiting diversification support.

High Growth
-7.7%
Growth
-7.2%
Balanced
-6.5%
Moderate
-5.8%
Conservative
-4.8%